--- task_categories: - question-answering tags: - future - prediction - LLM - Agents size_categories: - n<1K dataset_info: features: - name: id dtype: string - name: prompt dtype: string - name: end_time dtype: string - name: level dtype: int64 splits: - name: train num_bytes: 70647 num_examples: 80 download_size: 16660 dataset_size: 70647 configs: - config_name: default data_files: - split: train path: data/train-* --- # Submission Guidelines — Weekly Prediction Challenge 📄 Technical Report: [https://arxiv.org/pdf/2508.11987](https://arxiv.org/pdf/2508.11987) 🌐 LeaderBoard: [https://futurex-ai.github.io/](https://futurex-ai.github.io/) We run a weekly real-time prediction challenge. This repo **always** contains latest events. ## 1. Weekly Rules * A new set of tasks is released every week. * **This week's tasks cover events with an end time between `2025-12-10, 24:00 (UTC+8)` and `2025-12-16, 24:00 (UTC+8)`.** * **Option A:** If you submit your API, we will automatically test your model. * **Option B:** If you run locally, you must download the tasks, make predictions, and email us your results **before Wednesday 24:00 (UTC+8)** each week. * Late submissions will **not** be counted. * The leaderboard for this round will be updated by **`2025-12-18 24:00 (UTC+8, Beijing Time)`**. **⚠️ Next submission deadline: 2025-12-10, 24:00 (UTC+8, Beijing Time)** --- ## 2. How to Participate? Two ways: ### 2.1 Option A — Submit Your API Send an email to **[FutureX-ai@outlook.com](mailto:FutureX-ai@outlook.com)** with your model’s API (OpenAI-compatible endpoint + key). **Email subject format:** ``` FutureX Challenge Entry — [Your Model Name] ``` **Email body should include:** * Model details (base model, parameters, safety settings) * Any required headers or rate limits --- ### 2.2 Option B — Run Locally & Submit Predictions 1. Download the latest tasks from our dataset: [https://huggingface.co/datasets/futurex-ai/Futurex-Online](https://huggingface.co/datasets/futurex-ai/Futurex-Online) 2. Run your model on the tasks. 3. Email your predictions to **[FutureX-ai@outlook.com](mailto:FutureX-ai@outlook.com)** before the deadline. **Email subject format:** ``` FutureX Challenge Submission — [Your Model Name][Date] ``` **Submission requirements:** * File format: **JSON** (or JSONL) * Include dataset commit/hash you used * Required fields: `id`, `prediction` **Example (table view):** | id | prediction | | ---------- | ---------- | | event\_001 | Yes | | event\_002 | No | | event\_003 | Maybe | **Example (JSONL format):** ```json {"id": "event_001", "prediction": "Yes"} {"id": "event_002", "prediction": "No"} {"id": "event_003", "prediction": "Maybe"} ``` --- ## 3. Leaderboard and Privacy * Once your model has been tested on **200+ events**, it will appear on the **overall leaderboard**. * Weekly results will be ranked and shown on a dynamic leaderboard. * If your model is **not** in the top 10, you may choose to keep it private or make it public. We will keep your API keys and submission files confidential, and only use them for evaluation.