Update tables

CLAUDE.md

@@ -0,0 +1,74 @@
+# CLAUDE.md
+
+This file provides guidance to Claude Code (claude.ai/code) when working with code in this repository.
+
+## Project Overview
+
+fev-bench Leaderboard is a Streamlit web application displaying time series forecasting model evaluation results from the fev-bench benchmark. It evaluates 30+ forecasting models using multiple metrics (SQL, MASE, WQL, WAPE) across 100 benchmark tasks.
+
+## Common Commands
+
+```bash
+# Run the Streamlit app locally
+streamlit run fev-leaderboard-app.py --server.port=8501 --server.address=0.0.0.0
+
+# Regenerate leaderboard tables from autogluon/fev repo (defaults to main branch)
+python save_tables.py [commit]  # e.g., python save_tables.py abc123
+
+# Docker build and run
+docker build -t fev-leaderboard .
+docker run -p 8501:8501 fev-leaderboard
+```
+
+No test or lint frameworks are configured.
+
+## Architecture
+
+```
+fev-leaderboard-app.py     # Main entry point (Streamlit multi-page router)
+save_tables.py             # Generates pre-computed CSV tables from raw summaries
+pages/
+├── fev_bench.py           # Main leaderboard (100 tasks, loads from tables/)
+├── chronos_bench_ii.py    # Alternative leaderboard (27 tasks, fetches from GitHub)
+└── about.py               # Help page with links
+src/
+├── utils.py               # Visualization, formatting, MODEL_CONFIG, color palette
+└── strings.py             # UI text, metric descriptions, paper citations
+tables/                    # Pre-generated CSVs (leaderboard_*, pairwise_*, pivot_*)
+```
+
+**Data flow**: GitHub (autogluon/fev) → `save_tables.py` → pre-computed tables → `fev_bench.py` visualization
+
+## Key Modules
+
+**`src/utils.py`**: Core module containing:
+- `MODEL_CONFIG`: Dict mapping model names to (huggingface_url, organization, is_zero_shot, model_type)
+- `ALL_METRICS`: Dict with SQL, MASE, WQL, WAPE definitions
+- `format_leaderboard()`, `construct_bar_chart()`, `construct_pairwise_chart()`, `construct_pivot_table()`: Styling functions
+- `COLORS`: Custom palette (purple, gold, silver, bronze)
+
+**`src/strings.py`**: Documentation strings for metric formulas, win rate/skill score calculations, imputation strategies
+
+## Metrics
+
+| Metric | Type | Description |
+|--------|------|-------------|
+| SQL | Probabilistic | Scaled Quantile Loss (scale-invariant) |
+| MASE | Point | Mean Absolute Scaled Error (scale-invariant) |
+| WQL | Probabilistic | Weighted Quantile Loss (scale-dependent) |
+| WAPE | Point | Weighted Absolute Percentage Error (scale-dependent) |
+
+## Model Types
+
+Models are categorized as DL (deep learning) or ST (statistical) in `MODEL_CONFIG`. This affects color-coding in visualizations (blue vs. orange).
+
+## Imputation Strategy
+
+- **Failed tasks**: Replaced with Seasonal Naive scores
+- **Leaky tasks** (training corpus overlap for zero-shot models): Replaced with Chronos-Bolt scores
+
+## External References
+
+- fev-bench paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.26468
+- fev library docs: https://autogluon.github.io/fev/latest/
+- GitHub: https://github.com/autogluon/fev

pyproject.toml

@@ -0,0 +1,12 @@
+[project]
+name = "hf-leaderboard"
+version = "0.1.0"
+requires-python = ">=3.11"
+dependencies = [
+    "altair>=6.0.0",
+    "fev>=0.7.0",
+    "numpy<2.2",
+    "pyarrow<21",
+    "scipy<1.15",
+    "streamlit>=1.53.1",
+]

requirements.txt

@@ -1,6 +1,7 @@
 matplotlib
 numpy
 pandas
+requests
 streamlit==1.49.1
 fev>=0.6.0
 altair>=5.5.0

save_tables.py

@@ -1,10 +1,12 @@
 #!/usr/bin/env python3
 
 import argparse
-import os
+import io
 import sys
 from pathlib import Path
 
+import requests
+
 sys.path.append(str(Path(__file__).parent))
 
 import fev
@@ -12,6 +14,9 @@ import pandas as pd
 
 from src.utils import format_leaderboard
 
+GITHUB_REPO = "autogluon/fev"
+RESULTS_PATH = "benchmarks/fev_bench/results"
+
 # Constants from the main app
 BASELINE_MODEL = "Seasonal Naive"
 LEAKAGE_IMPUTATION_MODEL = "Chronos-Bolt"
@@ -21,11 +26,35 @@ TOP_K_MODELS_TO_PLOT = 15
 AVAILABLE_METRICS = ["SQL", "MASE", "WQL", "WAPE"]
 
 
-def load_summaries(path="."):
-    csv_files = list(Path(path).glob("*.csv"))
+def get_csv_files_from_github(commit: str) -> list[str]:
+    """Get list of CSV file paths from the GitHub repo at a specific commit."""
+    api_url = f"https://api.github.com/repos/{GITHUB_REPO}/contents/{RESULTS_PATH}?ref={commit}"
+    response = requests.get(api_url)
+    response.raise_for_status()
+
+    files = response.json()
+    csv_files = [f["path"] for f in files if f["name"].endswith(".csv")]
+
     if not csv_files:
-        raise FileNotFoundError(f"No CSV files found in {path}")
-    dfs = [pd.read_csv(file) for file in csv_files]
+        raise FileNotFoundError(f"No CSV files found in {RESULTS_PATH} at commit {commit}")
+
+    return csv_files
+
+
+def load_summaries_from_github(commit: str) -> pd.DataFrame:
+    """Load and concatenate all CSV summaries from the GitHub repo at a specific commit."""
+    csv_files = get_csv_files_from_github(commit)
+    print(f"Found {len(csv_files)} CSV files")
+
+    dfs = []
+    for file_path in csv_files:
+        raw_url = f"https://raw.githubusercontent.com/{GITHUB_REPO}/{commit}/{file_path}"
+        response = requests.get(raw_url)
+        response.raise_for_status()
+        df = pd.read_csv(io.StringIO(response.text))
+        dfs.append(df)
+        print(f"  Loaded: {Path(file_path).name}")
+
     return pd.concat(dfs, ignore_index=True)
 
 
@@ -93,16 +122,21 @@ def compute_pivot_table(summaries: pd.DataFrame, metric_name: str) -> tuple[pd.D
 
 
 def main():
-    parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description="Generate leaderboard tables from CSV summaries")
-    parser.add_argument("-s", "--summaries-path", default=".", help="Path to directory containing CSV files")
+    parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description="Generate leaderboard tables from CSV summaries in the fev repo")
+    parser.add_argument(
+        "commit",
+        nargs="?",
+        default="main",
+        help=f"Git commit SHA or branch name in the {GITHUB_REPO} repository (default: main)",
+    )
     args = parser.parse_args()
 
     # Create tables directory
     tables_dir = Path("tables")
     tables_dir.mkdir(exist_ok=True)
 
-    print("Loading summaries...")
-    summaries = load_summaries(args.summaries_path)
+    print(f"Loading summaries from {GITHUB_REPO} at commit {args.commit}...")
+    summaries = load_summaries_from_github(args.commit)
 
     for metric in AVAILABLE_METRICS:
         print(f"Processing {metric}...")

tables/leaderboard_MASE.csv

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s,median_inference_time_s,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,88.07142857142857,35.495567419618524,0.0,3.56996066,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,88.07142857142857,35.49604819631662,0.0,2.694849328,0.0,0.0
 TiRex,76.89285714285712,30.012261671412087,0.0,1.4030189444999999,0.01,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,75.07142857142857,30.197590695974842,0.0,16.9308283315,0.1,0.0
 Toto-1.0,66.85714285714285,28.213885409107164,0.0,90.676829282,0.08,0.0

tables/leaderboard_SQL.csv

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s,median_inference_time_s,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,91.42857142857143,47.27916337543932,0.0,3.56996066,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,91.42857142857143,47.28056105322771,0.0,2.694849328,0.0,0.0
 TiRex,82.67857142857142,42.57610775202675,0.0,1.4030189444999999,0.01,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,77.57142857142858,42.20062128325953,0.0,16.9308283315,0.1,0.0
 Toto-1.0,70.21428571428571,40.7460359139889,0.0,90.676829282,0.08,0.0

tables/leaderboard_WAPE.csv

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s,median_inference_time_s,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,85.92857142857142,39.409528419872345,0.0,3.56996066,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,85.92857142857142,39.40980595628945,0.0,2.694849328,0.0,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,75.28571428571428,33.719263075740194,0.0,16.9308283315,0.1,0.0
 TiRex,75.25000000000001,33.56017122067458,0.0,1.4030189444999999,0.01,0.0
 Toto-1.0,67.64285714285717,31.488756179777678,0.0,90.676829282,0.08,0.0

tables/leaderboard_WQL.csv

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s,median_inference_time_s,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,89.14285714285714,51.51837694099346,0.0,3.56996066,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,80.60714285714286,46.66550397812589,0.0,1.4030189444999999,0.01,0.0
+Chronos-2,89.14285714285714,51.51952213752647,0.0,2.694849328,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,80.60714285714286,46.6655039781259,0.0,1.4030189444999999,0.01,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,78.28571428571429,46.72558173490076,0.0,16.9308283315,0.1,0.0
 Toto-1.0,70.85714285714285,45.00088243993733,0.0,90.676829282,0.08,0.0
 TabPFN-TS,68.10714285714286,45.822378843833036,0.0,305.466367349,0.0,2.0

tables/pairwise_MASE.csv

@@ -59,7 +59,7 @@ Toto-1.0,AutoETS,0.79,0.71,0.86,0.266,0.203,0.326
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.91,0.85,0.96,0.282,0.241,0.327
 Toto-1.0,Naive,0.94,0.88,0.98,0.385,0.32,0.442
 Toto-1.0,Drift,0.89,0.82,0.94,0.392,0.328,0.451
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.08,0.03,0.14,-0.128,-0.164,-0.094
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.08,0.03,0.14,-0.128,-0.165,-0.094
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.235,0.155,0.315,-0.039,-0.059,-0.021
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.29,0.205,0.375,-0.042,-0.064,-0.022
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.42,0.33,0.51,-0.013,-0.036,0.008
@@ -209,7 +209,7 @@ Naive,AutoETS,0.36,0.27,0.45,-0.194,-0.336,-0.094
 Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.425,0.335,0.52,-0.167,-0.288,-0.069
 Naive,Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Naive,Drift,0.81,0.73,0.89,0.012,-0.012,0.035
-Drift,Chronos-2,0.06,0.02,0.11,-0.831,-1.053,-0.644
+Drift,Chronos-2,0.06,0.02,0.11,-0.832,-1.053,-0.644
 Drift,TiRex,0.06,0.02,0.11,-0.688,-0.859,-0.531
 Drift,TimesFM-2.5,0.08,0.03,0.14,-0.692,-0.883,-0.526
 Drift,Toto-1.0,0.11,0.06,0.18,-0.646,-0.821,-0.487

tables/pairwise_SQL.csv

@@ -44,7 +44,7 @@ TimesFM-2.5,AutoTheta,0.96,0.91,0.99,0.389,0.331,0.446
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.99,0.97,1.0,0.422,0.375,0.474
 TimesFM-2.5,Naive,0.99,0.97,1.0,0.602,0.543,0.65
 TimesFM-2.5,Drift,0.97,0.93,1.0,0.604,0.542,0.653
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.22,0.14,0.31,-0.124,-0.164,-0.088
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.22,0.14,0.31,-0.124,-0.164,-0.089
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.315,0.225,0.405,-0.032,-0.054,-0.01
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.44,0.34,0.53,-0.025,-0.051,-0.001
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/pairwise_WAPE.csv

@@ -7,7 +7,7 @@ Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.82,0.74,0.89,0.091,0.058,0.121
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.84,0.76,0.91,0.126,0.096,0.159
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.89,0.82,0.95,0.137,0.105,0.171
 Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,0.93,0.88,0.98,0.167,0.134,0.2
-Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.91,0.85,0.96,0.264,0.209,0.312
+Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.91,0.85,0.96,0.264,0.21,0.312
 Chronos-2,AutoARIMA,0.92,0.86,0.97,0.301,0.251,0.35
 Chronos-2,AutoETS,0.88,0.81,0.94,0.367,0.293,0.433
 Chronos-2,AutoTheta,0.94,0.89,0.98,0.297,0.247,0.344
@@ -194,7 +194,7 @@ Naive,AutoTheta,0.24,0.16,0.32,-0.231,-0.314,-0.161
 Naive,Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.475,0.39,0.565,-0.061,-0.146,0.017
 Naive,Drift,0.84,0.77,0.91,0.023,-0.005,0.048
-Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.05,0.01,0.1,-0.65,-0.787,-0.536
+Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.05,0.01,0.1,-0.65,-0.787,-0.537
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.05,0.01,0.1,-0.509,-0.63,-0.414
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.05,0.01,0.1,-0.505,-0.623,-0.408
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.08,0.03,0.14,-0.46,-0.575,-0.362
@@ -209,7 +209,7 @@ Seasonal Naive,AutoTheta,0.22,0.14,0.31,-0.16,-0.219,-0.11
 Seasonal Naive,Naive,0.525,0.435,0.61,0.058,-0.017,0.127
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Seasonal Naive,Drift,0.64,0.53,0.73,0.079,-0.001,0.153
-Drift,Chronos-2,0.07,0.03,0.12,-0.792,-0.994,-0.62
+Drift,Chronos-2,0.07,0.03,0.12,-0.792,-0.994,-0.621
 Drift,TimesFM-2.5,0.08,0.03,0.14,-0.639,-0.801,-0.507
 Drift,TiRex,0.09,0.04,0.15,-0.635,-0.796,-0.504
 Drift,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.04,0.17,-0.585,-0.735,-0.459

tables/pairwise_WQL.csv

@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.74,0.65,0.82,0.091,0.058,0.126
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.72,0.63,0.8,0.09,0.059,0.122
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.6,0.79,0.119,0.084,0.156
-Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.81,0.73,0.89,0.105,0.072,0.134
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.81,0.73,0.89,0.105,0.073,0.134
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.86,0.79,0.92,0.136,0.105,0.17
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.84,0.95,0.147,0.114,0.18
 Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,0.97,0.93,1.0,0.225,0.194,0.255
@@ -59,7 +59,7 @@ Toto-1.0,AutoTheta,0.93,0.87,0.97,0.403,0.341,0.465
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.96,0.92,0.99,0.45,0.397,0.501
 Toto-1.0,Naive,0.97,0.93,1.0,0.605,0.55,0.652
 Toto-1.0,Drift,0.97,0.93,1.0,0.607,0.551,0.656
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.19,0.11,0.27,-0.117,-0.155,-0.078
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.19,0.11,0.27,-0.118,-0.155,-0.078
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.36,0.26,0.46,-0.016,-0.067,0.032
 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.36,0.26,0.46,-0.017,-0.066,0.03
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.46,0.37,0.55,0.015,-0.037,0.068
@@ -74,7 +74,7 @@ TabPFN-TS,AutoTheta,0.94,0.89,0.98,0.412,0.352,0.471
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,0.97,0.935,0.995,0.458,0.412,0.506
 TabPFN-TS,Naive,0.97,0.93,1.0,0.611,0.556,0.657
 TabPFN-TS,Drift,0.95,0.9,0.98,0.613,0.557,0.661
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.14,0.08,0.21,-0.158,-0.204,-0.118
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.14,0.08,0.21,-0.158,-0.205,-0.118
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.205,0.13,0.285,-0.053,-0.078,-0.031
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.27,0.19,0.355,-0.054,-0.082,-0.029
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.41,0.32,0.51,-0.021,-0.046,0.003
@@ -104,7 +104,7 @@ Chronos-Bolt,AutoTheta,0.96,0.92,0.99,0.384,0.323,0.446
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.97,0.94,1.0,0.432,0.384,0.482
 Chronos-Bolt,Naive,0.98,0.95,1.0,0.592,0.537,0.639
 Chronos-Bolt,Drift,0.98,0.95,1.0,0.594,0.539,0.643
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.03,0.0,0.07,-0.29,-0.343,-0.24
+Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.03,0.0,0.07,-0.29,-0.343,-0.241
 Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.105,0.05,0.165,-0.173,-0.226,-0.124
 Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.095,0.04,0.155,-0.174,-0.223,-0.129
 Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.205,0.13,0.285,-0.138,-0.195,-0.085
@@ -194,7 +194,7 @@ Seasonal Naive,AutoTheta,0.31,0.22,0.4,-0.085,-0.174,-0.008
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Seasonal Naive,Naive,0.685,0.61,0.755,0.281,0.208,0.351
 Seasonal Naive,Drift,0.77,0.69,0.86,0.286,0.205,0.362
-Naive,Chronos-2,0.02,0.0,0.05,-1.87,-2.255,-1.52
+Naive,Chronos-2,0.02,0.0,0.05,-1.87,-2.256,-1.52
 Naive,TiRex,0.01,0.0,0.04,-1.608,-1.963,-1.301
 Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.01,0.0,0.03,-1.611,-1.972,-1.293
 Naive,Toto-1.0,0.03,0.0,0.07,-1.53,-1.877,-1.224

tables/pivot_MASE.csv

@@ -1,101 +1,101 @@
 Task name,Chronos-2,TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,Stat. Ensemble,AutoARIMA,AutoTheta,AutoETS,Seasonal Naive,Naive,Drift
-ETT_15T,0.69485799,0.7187969186000001,0.7295309932,0.7577736165000001,0.7033446670000001,0.7033446670000001,0.7625422865,0.7138930444,0.9168897854,0.9168897854,0.8021815222,1.4293457361000002,0.9168897854,1.3670854222,1.4150881085
-ETT_1D,1.3413765239,1.3268087247,1.3611067371,1.3679488602,1.3461045465,1.3461045465,1.4991782178,1.4174248495,1.4122431037,1.4311893424,1.4485203425,1.437554375,1.4915469632,1.4615227122,1.493070532
-ETT_1H,1.1259593877,1.1177931379,1.1239074995,1.1128977698,1.126722477,1.126722477,1.1773747941,1.1439289261,1.2518551239,1.2616150196,1.284690664,1.6020946418,1.3227159047,1.7184142013,1.7823323561
-ETT_1W,2.6985269137,2.6203818352,2.6215325512,2.6388480518,2.6260535479,2.6260535479,2.8095121652,2.7153947044,2.6874358146,2.7471493707,2.8368188855,2.6393182441,2.6201185499,2.6201185499,2.7818783534
-LOOP_SEATTLE_1D,0.9599506681,0.9691232143,0.9509504834,1.0267654131,0.9859320366,0.9859320366,0.9622221749,0.9847669395,0.9983198527,0.9888675362,1.0222727765,1.0016712996,1.1753801207,2.1046903302,2.373789824
-LOOP_SEATTLE_1H,0.7939256103000001,0.8196171978,0.7539313166,0.8716561378000001,0.9188719391,0.9188719391,0.8527195266,0.9012445092,1.3516779911,1.3516779911,1.1797622806,1.6371768899,1.3516779911,1.7163837446,1.9650972819
-LOOP_SEATTLE_5T,0.6812013579,0.6919744542,0.7344527308000001,0.6999688034,0.8058940043,0.8058940043,0.7953950095000001,0.7671902281,0.9579580055,0.9670797236,0.9937342132,0.9723147042,0.8255932621000001,1.0149350727,1.1722532487
-M_DENSE_1D,0.772147294,0.9065688429,0.8575514804000001,1.0278691722,0.9249126529,0.9249126529,0.9194900606,0.8999893558000001,1.050932514,1.168959753,1.0771913138,1.0868806507,1.3500254954,1.72924802,1.7668414689
-M_DENSE_1H,0.7132003866000001,0.7118568012000001,0.6693472657,0.7547859889,0.7173406545000001,0.7173406545000001,0.7953014020000001,0.775167995,1.1917704339,1.1833753219,1.4265921364,1.4834949349,1.2398526574,2.9336598204,3.2462087048
-SZ_TAXI_15T,0.4999875771,0.5028743392,0.5037458638,0.5100538324,0.5100343925,0.5100343925,0.5231892934,0.5133618160000001,0.6992652752,0.6992652752,0.5704736672,0.6812952229,0.6992652752,0.7537395688,0.7757872137
-SZ_TAXI_1H,0.4878765553,0.4985809825,0.5174781061,0.4938355877,0.5054399823,0.5054399823,0.5369530543000001,0.6129421994,0.5582147152,0.6365009349,0.7816119684,1.6334537315,0.6288121204,0.7531606604000001,0.8861734094
-australian_tourism,0.8548583034,0.9757973332,0.9190089649,1.1349816052,1.1608053998,1.167418807,0.8868052992000001,0.9146409764,0.9323052664,1.0124394981,1.0449349521,0.9667110204,1.0994521146,1.5829350567,1.7960279922
-bizitobs_l2c_1H,0.3841207893,0.4680641032,0.4101674728,0.4671656853,0.4308821616,0.4308821616,0.4458486692,0.4647078621,0.7567537453000001,0.7748607972,0.7957254005000001,0.8231641016,1.0658712657,0.7707155721000001,0.7758078113
-bizitobs_l2c_5T,0.5169198847,0.7958700059,0.5787129625,0.7135649119,0.8001548681,0.8001548681,0.6193328173,0.4807818165,0.8068916121,0.9163295742,0.8740253941,0.8137418066000001,1.0666676717,0.7577504543,0.9386117981
-boomlet_1062,0.6776941572,0.6804959751,0.6916399154,0.669096311,0.7155932877000001,0.7110111948000001,0.6864002083,0.7574670104,1.0019575039,0.9510023935,1.0704423896,1.0502749806,0.9949683457,1.307870931,1.422512019
-boomlet_1209,0.798770705,0.8520639537,0.8179153246,0.7440166652,0.8596275988000001,0.8460080897000001,1.107972646,0.8887982072,1.0454166675,1.0378800323,1.1056064071,1.1827230135,1.1827230135,1.0545734336,1.2621289177
-boomlet_1225,0.232250887,0.2338512692,0.2365234795,0.2291020931,0.2436207845,0.2540221924,0.2509252394,0.2531870103,0.2904167694,0.2751876371,0.3003114491,0.3006939878,0.3736491907,0.3736491907,0.38068424
-boomlet_1230,1.3704917337,1.3783150604,1.3669883226,1.2932815419,1.4190498379,1.347504774,1.6398564855000002,1.4532188179,1.5513275237,1.5864985932,1.5854205097,1.7204862029,1.8986209303,1.563197,1.7478394522
-boomlet_1282,0.5228616857,0.4966357089,0.4938256811,0.4982816626,0.5229602404,0.5646901456,0.506661869,0.5169242862,0.6397695821,0.5924898465,0.6909553164000001,0.6889630667000001,0.8299194032,0.8299194032,0.8508297266
-boomlet_1487,0.5106600333,0.5187314221,0.5025569448,0.4821270726,0.5276634634,0.5268262285,0.6139593947,0.5573472172,0.6620511075000001,0.6561515279,0.6861485358,0.6618622173,0.7188988334,0.7369858245,0.8583652247
-boomlet_1631,0.7130379866000001,0.7478094028000001,0.7223220370000001,0.7231858750000001,0.7328154067,0.7407561889000001,0.8463187427000001,0.7619771372,0.9935726652,0.9935726652,0.7886354003,0.7850787279,0.9935726652,0.8639891085,0.8923058214
-boomlet_1676,0.7074172691,0.7093011606,0.6981823962,0.6906502502,0.7128114239000001,0.7192465308,0.958687274,0.7138061614,0.952905272,0.952905272,0.7772233453,0.7609898935,0.952905272,0.8198719238000001,0.8566079879
-boomlet_1855,0.5381849677,0.5278191175,0.5502667915,0.5280890902,0.543045447,0.5502545471,0.6402148315,0.59756436,0.7137233958,0.7334421170000001,0.7479719187,0.7732640618000001,0.8339307546,0.680593968,0.6861913673000001
-boomlet_1975,0.160743225,0.2344681763,0.2045403051,0.149489781,0.2722386223,0.2157351982,0.2447173505,0.2358591523,0.5885200818,0.6455594326,0.5697333157000001,0.6992926357,0.9041727794,0.6991117215,0.7004386998000001
-boomlet_2187,0.8118519892,0.8085306304000001,0.8936367348,0.881456274,0.9069913111,0.878419842,1.0030305987,0.9507442206,1.18136692,1.2812206603,1.2716040444,1.2537471952,1.3439772563,1.15749623,1.1700732484
-boomlet_285,0.3587658722,0.4007113979,0.4216519838,0.3609691019,0.470509393,0.5250469024000001,0.3931546055,0.5605665968,0.7526380608000001,0.7883015466000001,0.7305756426000001,0.8132574193000001,1.2487633378,1.2487633378,1.2792135195
-boomlet_619,0.4234249096,0.4418338294,0.4363557101,0.403240616,0.4306276617,0.5940973904,0.4305322873,0.435636804,1.0046773699,0.7170247042,1.0200015813,1.0937660371,1.1235570145,1.1235570145,1.1484320675
-boomlet_772,0.331309463,0.3435360993,0.3429964064,0.3279337304,0.3651670055,0.3956163828,0.3608040826,0.3920487456,0.5801758985000001,0.5361147759,0.6163309557000001,0.6702469495000001,0.6290173275000001,0.6290173275000001,0.6468050268000001
-boomlet_963,0.8390323316,0.8276719248000001,0.8600331800000001,0.8253396814,0.8725943582000001,0.8956312939000001,0.8758112548,0.849173272,1.1173343797,1.1099255146,1.1004605986,1.2932431478,1.1186074012,1.1186074012,1.1367798246
-ecdc_ili,2.7551221041,2.8841261459,2.6316220318,3.0233475859,2.9286752636,3.1427261211,2.8110944773,3.0367688213,4.3217227901,4.1963805493,4.2528905756,4.5974303581,4.1680850656,4.1680850656,4.3553339847
-entsoe_15T,0.584613927,0.5986061889000001,0.5903166384,0.7502653602,0.5933312818,0.6061735307,0.6094490505,0.7577799507,0.9314587074,0.9314587074,0.7298063048,4.0070290526,0.9314587074,1.9045500461,2.0547959624
-entsoe_1H,0.5379602267,0.585380389,0.5848723966,0.5907812391,0.5924217639,0.556447549,0.5377189816,0.8117895189000001,1.1144887827,1.1176425426,1.1626008244,2.0475241128,1.1014887222,2.0553481854,2.1575810109
-entsoe_30T,0.5438155024,0.6645923404,0.6957880272,0.6254143824,0.5973972755,0.6326216104,0.6350493808000001,0.7796412031000001,1.0577908951,1.2299298482,1.0040370692,3.2738378374,1.2161814769,2.0733355971,2.0462297626
-epf_be,0.6470253095,0.6743990368,0.6101898021000001,0.7065052879,0.6709379406,0.7272945434,0.6701844387,0.7222255864,0.9813953164,1.0947820348,1.0193650689,1.3929299519,1.0270532112,1.3609414277,1.3744478654
-epf_de,0.6042262391000001,1.2971032281,1.2798889483,1.3369704527,1.2281783328,1.2655265893,0.5674762585,1.3227461317,1.3821017935,1.6231053542,1.407198376,1.741711499,1.7085955085,1.7417240476,1.7695511326000002
-epf_fr,0.4500648874,0.5040405462,0.4906901724,0.5253012985000001,0.5034595344,0.5638378752000001,0.4181703173,0.5243569292,0.7410301647,0.988839379,0.8447495724,0.9665291295,0.8501188428,1.160344512,1.1771067225
-epf_np,0.8501927354000001,1.22255132,1.4402381231,1.3589475358,1.1997562864,1.2409440197,0.8709423510000001,1.0947012554,1.514694987,1.7096191588,1.514020593,2.3244018164,1.7613036184,2.3154975383,2.3147871788
-epf_pjm,0.4718976596,0.5057793683,0.5310653587,0.5821871052,0.5630774342,0.5357283349,0.5339815846,0.5214143203,0.5294817721,0.5572886801,0.6832480189,0.9847286701,0.581167898,0.9849340527,0.9983941216
-ercot_1D,1.1382701552,1.0650322509,1.068637649,1.1712118632,1.2043414824,1.150459162,1.2627737925,1.1023893836,1.5207401049,1.3979692163,1.5801931826,1.5952697559,1.5987746508,1.5840542166,1.5904988169
-ercot_1H,1.3575339616,1.3770443905,1.4902437934,1.4168899965,1.3940551857,1.3914155571,1.5551131815,1.4647042938,1.610467295,1.4621684481,1.5835893744,3.196839145,1.5757631018,3.1089998641,3.1208481544
-ercot_1M,0.9503422118,1.0121701532,0.9788665964,1.2709588716,1.2434972767,0.9921791164,1.2288572299,1.0612308441,0.9720301101,0.9971198091,1.2051001185,0.9527701547,1.112833491,4.4343715733,4.8730234607
-ercot_1W,1.2194617137,1.2277888798,1.1887344162,1.3470027368,1.3362468506,1.2261966297,1.6253611467,1.4770568791,2.6623042168,2.6323348127,2.66207578,2.6788985082,2.6319098716,2.6319098716,2.6294908648
-favorita_stores_1D,1.1401981362,1.1934094375,1.1675502677,1.2803612723,1.2046882591,1.2688834676,1.1942878338,1.2200293401,1.3400112075,1.4187797295,1.3758675565,1.3798606395,1.7590444116,1.8830413748,1.8964809396
-favorita_stores_1M,1.9752000518,2.2147063817,2.2337935781,2.2864924589,2.3235561779,2.4178143615,2.1757603336,2.4060388473,2.1181450497,2.207495882,2.1335008012,2.1221172271,2.2823009488,1.9974006051,2.0640825589
-favorita_stores_1W,2.2987284037,2.4234607638,2.2900534378,2.5080339706,2.5772702404,2.4748929287,2.5267645799,2.561243423,2.433980351,2.580066785,2.4768022229,2.5164520445000003,2.5171133578,2.5171133578,2.55263811
-favorita_transactions_1D,0.8493704997,1.3492617128,1.1514968036,1.1514968036,1.1514968036,1.1514968036,1.6727335501,1.324712294,1.2657781225,1.7409399844,1.2511063806,1.2765051213,1.820047183,1.8618151915,1.8593809033
-favorita_transactions_1M,1.2531106859,1.3596174423,1.331599249,1.6656037195,1.6105440091,1.6365070781000002,1.4261630874,1.6184833791000002,1.3044406101,1.4642003185,1.4898451778,1.3424992981,1.5197338218,1.4299319146,1.6051275429
-favorita_transactions_1W,1.498824674,1.7464561746,1.7479484715,1.9303724027,1.6846164482,1.7479484715,2.436781004,2.0992640534,1.6323769125,1.7908498043,1.7230820362,1.6826500128,1.5401800863,1.5401800863,1.6333667243
-fred_md_2025/cee,4.1602413715,3.9913296592,5.4995170613,5.4995170613,5.4995170613,5.4995170613,4.6737821611,5.6396642877000005,4.1492831073,6.3656916747,4.7268175598,4.1316582891,11.870151993,6.7148852073,4.6902098373
-fred_md_2025/macro,6.7212229021,6.2436277327,6.8925263969,6.8925263969,6.8925263969,6.8925263969,7.7467550529,6.9855690276,6.4760151224,7.2903875617,6.7085954414,6.5541834396,11.2729488966,7.1693509539,6.6706675334
-fred_qd_2025/cee,2.7861573589,2.5007210568,2.5230363656,2.1472810882,2.7932979017,2.9552801855,2.9044098381000003,4.1237296063,2.2117006108,2.3066503643000003,2.5784767122,2.4969928698,5.7264703884,4.3666041366,2.5885780238
-fred_qd_2025/macro,4.2345765547,4.2532915346,4.2312964035,4.0310227379,4.3026427477,4.4204306869,5.2932799619,5.0800217147,4.2291679217,4.4837099549,4.4089305862,4.4466602526,6.2532543175,4.9115310592,4.3735327936
-gvar,0.7105251571,0.7074487020000001,0.7192074299,0.7017595921,0.7279795748,0.7294646076,0.9010948704,0.8613958999,0.6831004748,0.7032889301,0.6996326439,0.7021303869000001,0.9186013653,0.7430842013000001,0.6965206846
-hermes,0.7761148308,0.8309937727000001,0.7871785508,1.2023433786,0.8853610442000001,0.8579267331,0.9123318673,0.959480348,1.8121264962,1.5317415273,1.8477529328,1.9852238872,1.9945193434,1.9945193434,2.0472163243
-hierarchical_sales_1D,0.6889480354,0.6853563806,0.6882027162000001,0.6820968126,0.6860304896,0.6860304896,0.7080055758,0.7291028689,0.8130155521,0.7735716427,0.8693462262,0.8639978187,0.9949475154,1.0417563414,1.0525564501
-hierarchical_sales_1W,0.7539268452,0.756678049,0.7507699991,0.7789897858,0.7733116574000001,0.7733116574000001,0.7740136921,0.8055524179,0.9004451123,0.9125112599,0.9154643589,1.0341883947,1.1617080217,1.1617080217,1.1894416421
-hospital,0.8734575253,0.8749408193,0.8629412822,0.9208820395,0.8888399515000001,0.8888399515000001,0.8808779374,0.9575868855,0.8766229998,0.9191221959,0.9215507227,0.9080008209,1.0188066511,1.10504708,1.1736654928
-hospital_admissions_1D,0.7170504398,0.717979448,0.7193032164000001,0.7172821424,0.7187636137000001,0.7195191066000001,0.7244514742,0.7225061727000001,0.7213815906000001,0.7209334531,0.7428646667000001,0.7211231617,1.0268297216,0.9746856833,0.9816293494
-hospital_admissions_1W,0.7508052537000001,0.7609831368000001,0.7544838609000001,0.7781410151,0.7643243630000001,0.7622844235,0.7534416615,0.7598582682,0.7551866274,0.7540567649000001,0.7779256247,0.7540854723,1.0436412698,1.0436412698,1.0831848605
-jena_weather_10T,0.4309090205,0.4789954609,0.4373143782,0.4522280598,0.4805248693,0.4805248693,0.516391649,0.4900412345,0.7300235109000001,0.7300235109000001,0.4933654141,0.6119521222000001,0.7300235109000001,0.52703557,0.5533241331000001
-jena_weather_1D,1.4035573001,1.366539178,1.3763415621,1.411132821,1.3722903668,1.3722903668,1.4445769356,1.4276462192,1.5642224637000002,1.5277037002,1.6406694179,1.8504210406,1.8965701168,1.6994317303000002,1.7748810582
-jena_weather_1H,0.4373910058,0.437909858,0.4392356659,0.4476285627,0.4542878163,0.4542878163,0.5111184304,0.4459427668,0.4663908322,0.5091821891,0.4846005807,0.567832109,0.7399001552000001,0.5374935394,0.544552084
-kdd_cup_2022_10T,0.5199209021,0.5903298173,0.5903298173,0.5903298173,0.5903298173,0.5903298173,0.6951920674000001,0.5903298173,0.8187009928000001,0.8187009928000001,0.8117980851000001,0.7837343985,0.8187009928000001,0.7815687018,0.8809057293
-kdd_cup_2022_1D,0.8993091790000001,0.8990205149,0.8934942013,0.8967645421,0.9125687218,0.9069594704,0.9150751748,0.9235145261,0.9701127541,0.9552154519,0.9764039863,0.9888169951,1.0844353298,1.0306171345,1.0552765612
-kdd_cup_2022_30T,0.5419431132,0.5339588215000001,0.6348935773000001,0.5309168604,0.5156770351000001,0.6672184767,0.6765431227,0.5884124519,0.7681145469,0.7706658108000001,0.8416018012,0.8428842456000001,0.8221839563000001,0.8375670849,0.8782613104
-m5_1D,0.8805311862,0.8753446971000001,0.8851788247,0.8851788247,0.8851788247,0.8851788247,1.2236286692,0.9677992163,1.2236286692,1.0630838856,1.0805686532,1.0632996272,1.2236286692,1.3575007837,1.3783870781
-m5_1M,1.1638225847,1.1629101784,1.1576052027,1.2421800194,1.1773037824,1.1852216988,1.1871283177,1.199580668,1.1819548335,1.2131357033,1.2589934317,1.2139006267,1.3266370526,1.2671440715,1.3915794965
-m5_1W,1.140035557,1.1476955468,1.1647431618,1.1448252405,1.1500678738,1.1647431618,1.1604987437,1.1330759513,1.151797309,1.1567620351,1.1697733846,1.1672033988,1.3382424884,1.3382424884,1.3824089509
-proenfo_gfc12,0.8120010722000001,1.1241553096,1.0781317629,1.0781317629,1.0781317629,1.0781317629,1.0338246822,0.9935522058,1.5463300248,1.3848285732,1.5236522096,2.8114372878,1.428177457,2.6291046656,2.7528132313
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tables/pivot_SQL.csv

@@ -1,101 +1,101 @@
 Task name,Chronos-2,TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,Stat. Ensemble,AutoARIMA,AutoETS,AutoTheta,Seasonal Naive,Naive,Drift
-ETT_15T,0.5458017215000001,0.5682984928,0.5771622748,0.5930359987,0.5737369405,0.5737369405,0.6023976568,0.597092731,0.7624529909000001,0.7624529909000001,1.2626027246,1.0985228656,0.7624529909000001,1.3268766411,1.3649829587
-ETT_1D,1.1315469453,1.1014613305,1.1440582667,1.1431991194,1.1321824157,1.1321824157,1.2302029516,1.2461046836,1.2707356751,1.2587593653,1.3559628802,1.3789083105,1.3728451389,1.4222525092,1.4528881358
-ETT_1H,0.8829666059,0.8735827998000001,0.8822637379,0.8726715063,0.9435863248,0.9435863248,0.93321436,0.9634114324,1.2717102201,1.052404926,1.7645010362,2.0612851578,1.2068899431,2.3136589326,2.4221862813
-ETT_1W,2.3200722486,2.264520334,2.2485701754,2.2807752001,2.2795034775,2.2795034775,2.4105571965,2.4688224531,2.4073690783,2.4423112635,2.39380306,2.603472326,2.5092678823,2.5092678823,2.63212947
-LOOP_SEATTLE_1D,0.7791980647000001,0.7923359463,0.7738014961,0.8309489631,0.8051325971000001,0.8051325971000001,0.7804864737,0.8625023325000001,0.8198461462000001,0.8099517857,0.8246251865,0.8528499579000001,1.0461703776,2.4710363002,2.6285047085
-LOOP_SEATTLE_1H,0.6390561982,0.6558214249000001,0.6206804936,0.6981449455000001,0.7646847805,0.7646847805,0.6785128884,0.7695770803,1.5008790861,1.5008790861,2.6385256214,2.8320370482,1.5008790861,3.5094786471,3.7005853436
-LOOP_SEATTLE_5T,0.5325339887,0.5488731010000001,0.5953126390000001,0.5612747662,0.7101241523,0.7101241523,0.6414697138000001,0.6606205367,1.0436727136,1.0012742792,1.1550368249,1.1098659427,0.7515879948,1.8612988657,2.0191661844
-M_DENSE_1D,0.6463243544,0.7460414464,0.7075343346,0.8417803746,0.7589658968,0.7589658968,0.7560067856,0.7844887054,0.9647884446,0.9701754768,1.0734765679,1.1434781616,1.262653406,2.1937270172,2.2311998044
-M_DENSE_1H,0.5854558868,0.5867504602,0.556059175,0.6211696495,0.5952543328000001,0.5952543328000001,0.6460899053,0.6604636921,1.1265341106,1.0625833478,59.0195299046,3.0980400553,1.3040659305,3.8689657918,4.0939855017
-SZ_TAXI_15T,0.3932968859,0.3955981846,0.3966454244,0.4014560725,0.413175328,0.413175328,0.4285012823,0.4438538338,0.5602190946,0.5602190946,2.3550253131,0.5126750232,0.5602190946,1.3787889942,1.4174386493
-SZ_TAXI_1H,0.3977234494,0.4050422075,0.4156030479,0.4183039495,0.4264135301,0.4264135301,0.4935099732,0.5170317067,0.6894973186000001,0.6584161139,12313683383.147636,0.983741696,0.8375139431,2.6856786961,2.9588624372
-australian_tourism,0.6769555543,0.7859715496,0.7323027992000001,0.8897084606000001,0.9175231952,0.9282641589,0.6989805801,0.7908486579,0.7300394505000001,0.8009680433,0.7615891772000001,0.8129699438,0.8947401082,1.5916364579,1.7922461374
-bizitobs_l2c_1H,0.3010456324,0.3662951077,0.3261346281,0.3700783044,0.3419873985,0.3419873985,0.3540742815,0.4121569345,0.6336059931,0.6185436377,0.7179372865,0.6824779096,0.8851906828,0.6654111557,0.669961201
-bizitobs_l2c_5T,0.4108409399,0.6788551053,0.4610602059,0.5953979102,0.7570014323,0.7570014323,0.4854874227,0.4004194445,0.7197078839000001,0.8247104427,0.7310899228000001,0.7495634618,0.9226397442,0.6779088155,0.7933793841
-boomlet_1062,0.5523285116000001,0.5548997157000001,0.5732470754,0.5478320341,0.5927620413,0.6387175665,0.7083924656,0.6467962229,0.9851058144,0.7541477798,1.3088562197,1.3443713412,0.9105473153,4.3036993716,4.6588724435
-boomlet_1209,0.6799100048000001,0.7293072077,0.7045922388,0.645080569,0.7562347037,0.7840808515000001,1.0159986311,0.7807326884,2.4692530935,1.1085996591,1.26373922,2.7292377595,1.26373922,3.2386174338,3.5173454757
-boomlet_1225,0.1864128984,0.1876278604,0.1900803084,0.1833820954,0.1948503398,0.2030750841,0.2145097606,0.222714996,0.2803755249,0.2348969847,0.3176935124,0.3296940654,0.7453858177,0.7453858177,0.758570547
-boomlet_1230,1.2010320136,1.1859324313,1.1874247824,1.1375594979,1.2863247224,1.266108854,1.6130013764000002,1.3047326747,3.3900350214,1.8500253092,393376667139840.8,3.9779653374,2.0369976474,5.548152717,5.9878393324
-boomlet_1282,0.4211360536,0.4089033383,0.4034160537,0.4069384603,0.4269211119,0.461810646,0.4252624699,0.4521593639,0.7391125197,0.5565242655,0.9135627329,0.9716916511,1.5394068156,1.5394068156,1.5690882811
-boomlet_1487,0.4233194087,0.4270074608,0.4122943587,0.4003928432,0.455761865,0.4824435432,0.7454959652,0.4989559922,0.6807093562000001,0.6560424612,0.7236915730000001,0.8366025999000001,0.8422519568,5.651237163,6.1210676162
-boomlet_1631,0.5718707143,0.5981611197000001,0.5790200299,0.5808311118,0.5907980989,0.6194052562,0.6970609561000001,0.6443979368,0.8513712543,0.8513712543,0.7214099148,0.7282739185,0.8513712543,1.3493380035,1.3890549561
-boomlet_1676,0.5686749053,0.5712459165,0.562625503,0.5544290679,0.5727147225,0.6076896737,0.8311081643,0.6145915641,0.8503822276,0.8503822276,0.7563535779,0.7835312638,0.8503822276,1.3195857419,1.3578116859
-boomlet_1855,0.4615736869,0.4500166174,0.4725778373,0.4524286557,0.464879974,0.4695926826,0.6233137320000001,0.5254199296000001,1.1233499934,1.0829482214,1.1848850765,1.204414213,1.4642665486,3.2734556686,3.2968156747
-boomlet_1975,0.1333320445,0.1921381366,0.1671766157,0.1262384828,0.2195469335,0.1793929044,0.2069952508,0.2023056594,0.5478588809,0.5505765392,0.6113593807000001,0.6292227757000001,0.8427719263000001,0.6114911297,0.6131317081000001
-boomlet_2187,0.7122729749000001,0.7105001322000001,0.8020040101,0.7637500168,0.8067927027,0.7746853019000001,0.9340158386,0.8515537165,1.2729717642,1.3028566624,1.3069851719,1.389411779,1.6696910974,3.0072867381,3.0279388411
-boomlet_285,0.290064067,0.3453755039,0.3965655545,0.3185360094,0.4274151922,0.476702899,0.7127008195,0.4879211264,1.2619335645,1.1887776805,1.2033358677,1.3318503729,6.0221504695,6.0221504695,6.1302545159
-boomlet_619,0.3232653941,0.3410809257,0.3398320588,0.309878085,0.3294344187,0.4708614915,0.3305066441,0.3705071077,0.7771722948,0.5544648012,0.8944230183,0.8352158487,1.2751647052,1.2751647052,1.3005697258
-boomlet_772,0.2827797602,0.2962086426,0.2948668716,0.2810029794,0.3139115775,0.3391929948,0.3295303206,0.3520560133,1.1794168073,0.7834129974,531470228.16674185,1.4390517121,2.4909982911,2.4909982911,2.5366947218
-boomlet_963,0.7165952951,0.7184034841,0.7387586339000001,0.7199999526,0.7505200217,0.7786787266,0.7960581525,0.7521897883,1.3348061563,1.1056032467,1.6089011238,1.4536844039,1.6474289575,1.6474289575,1.6758761104
-ecdc_ili,2.271393724,2.4106397038000003,2.2150356629,2.554483793,2.4544933394,2.6531174908,2.3819418015,2.7054455064000003,3.8373720704,3.6414550365,4.0788004388,3.8437922843,3.7763740551,3.7763740551,3.9298378029
-entsoe_15T,0.4539692578,0.4692753774,0.4709170997,0.5909160927,0.478288762,0.5061680935,0.4837394321,0.6669136238000001,0.7806910892000001,0.7806910892000001,3.0289340615,0.5794334285,0.7806910892000001,1.5177144586,1.6350644474
-entsoe_1H,0.4292730733,0.4701221987,0.4680893711,0.4795713506,0.4870732428,0.4574194964,0.4419444303,0.7440774844,0.8919673675,0.8725110581000001,1.9050298297,0.9723015525,1.0561195152,1.91535268,2.0110168444
-entsoe_30T,0.4335548965,0.5229834486,0.5657877209000001,0.4958133037,0.4883587468,0.5294317223,0.5116608489,0.7215674609,0.8465224818,0.980742171,2.492761432,0.7996836131,1.0103240484,1.6091505549,1.5911802499
-epf_be,0.5032958894,0.5270142745,0.4937475347,0.5648275564,0.5281380165,0.573131006,0.5324134798,0.6465423658,1.2134724304,1.0560628345,1.5343230451,1.4843337008000002,1.1502802436,3.0844576332,3.1070840486
-epf_de,0.4911168264,1.0321659189,1.0300427797,1.1058453126,1.0163698014,1.0208059246,0.4402987265,1.1830726521,1.1665641061,1.2777053882,1.4013079444,1.4943830235,1.3876764191,1.4012218785,1.4206596948
-epf_fr,0.3617710942,0.4013687759,0.4091649941,0.4256540696,0.4092032808,0.4389128912,0.3307410445,0.461064889,1.1455989836,1.1580732451,0.8989034107,1.5911735884,1.2455233831,3.8189174071,3.8479452737
-epf_np,0.6581143676,0.9662474004,1.1706350574,1.0368665291,0.9253466826,0.971072301,0.6592724518,0.9450979115,1.2844205231,1.3932103761,1.9332061254,1.2812041765,1.5298484821,1.9403665636,1.9414483144
-epf_pjm,0.3815757302,0.4041710148,0.4263079971,0.4518928599,0.4405348981,0.4216993095,0.4270292068,0.4679144039,0.4870679588,0.48187052,0.9138786189,0.6031844165,0.5152721396000001,0.9298473491,0.9378548257
-ercot_1D,0.8691909797,0.8182837121000001,0.8296777262,0.8800154437000001,0.9470906371,0.9164572277,0.9810503129,0.9267011801,1.2548535439,1.1018625405,1.3820413333,1.4186958416,1.3382664757,1.3903868406,1.4000667198
-ercot_1H,1.0291210655,1.0649765384,1.1510446297,1.095463785,1.0976602987,1.137929015,1.2076871071,1.2226080643,1.259822515,1.1754444345,2.6755880612,1.2749705934,1.3214751318,2.6413247553,2.6942610140000003
-ercot_1M,0.7549419552000001,0.8060543809,0.7715311289,1.007020102,0.972573257,0.7729483605,0.9028337317,0.917392765,0.7617082171,0.7879913849,0.7564464177,0.9653005355,0.9042858434,3.4990135369,3.8188806322
-ercot_1W,0.9664287901,0.954652414,0.9324255927,1.0602182535,1.0526167016,0.9613116039,1.2284207021,1.2458511259,2.0949542269,2.089948711,2.0679213662,2.1282361494,2.0789778405,2.0789778405,2.0801083861
-favorita_stores_1D,0.9164120515,0.9681608123,0.9493623591,1.0363827033,0.9798213622,1.0322306624,0.9697812299,1.0613262128,1.1970549978,1.2216416053,1.2378827412,1.2731528133,1.6902367853,2.6356836377,2.6562348012
-favorita_stores_1M,1.7943755173,1.8559124197,1.9983090236,2.0093638587,2.0913151428,2.0865003553,1.9335734731,2.2542926251,1.942621879,2.0381596319,1.9424462204,1.9416452953,2.0967115946,2.0578284127,2.106703069
-favorita_stores_1W,2.0241018122,2.046240588,1.9683866102,2.1277442598,2.1965497094,2.1010925554,2.1226627361,2.3082226469,2.2196008497,2.2969051079,2.3568206927,2.3159830026,2.4938289104,2.4938289104,2.5295781907
-favorita_transactions_1D,0.6846128061,1.0314215727,0.9750458566,0.9750458566,0.9750458566,0.9750458566,1.2251845822,1.1981736735,1.1848435874,1.562168577,1.1813088433,1.2463370552,1.7338216714,2.7303837473,2.7460309898
-favorita_transactions_1M,0.9426020852,1.0893114126,1.1326951058,1.3968989653,1.389630485,1.3584690914,1.2438493019,1.4526874778,1.1521708088,1.2777968435,1.1787496733,1.2743467248,1.3301725476,1.7424291672,1.8848237078
-favorita_transactions_1W,1.2279251366,1.3836394276,1.4283013139,1.5565627963000002,1.4633900473,1.4283013139,1.9116392061,1.8454095028,1.55928265,1.6323137052,1.6473855473,1.7020928499,1.6714139443,1.6714139443,1.7289504361
-fred_md_2025/cee,3.4681775163,3.3490390729,4.4904404116,4.4904404116,4.4904404116,4.4904404116,3.872866885,4.8863751494,3.7449838346,5.8791415649,3.642884743,4.3189751514,9.4371027278,5.9195737804,4.236293641
-fred_md_2025/macro,5.6801711129,5.3069669462,5.8417533276,5.8417533276,5.8417533276,5.8417533276,6.3986770227,6.2236190621,5.7428835095,6.5438633054,5.7936387412,6.0124726904,9.5793076258,6.4047596955,5.9752290488
-fred_qd_2025/cee,2.1919920004,2.0461814654,2.1807036186,1.7726716319,2.2955960423,2.3654952138,2.2915507616,3.6414340592,1.9027740715,1.9543398085,2.1232724277,2.2176909101,4.4448478957,3.675773916,2.1956616384
-fred_qd_2025/macro,3.5367304169,3.5296543064,3.5932767502000003,3.4020827998,3.6155615726,3.6544020032,4.2401411107,4.5427910096,3.6148508861,3.8675028627,3.9044348431,3.8250563211,5.2213314727,4.251884602,3.7928250976
-gvar,0.5781460165,0.576786326,0.5902138174,0.5758663156,0.5933262207000001,0.5962858414000001,0.6741322757,0.7468286472,0.5896099351,0.6171744519,0.5932241947,0.616191821,0.7861696279,0.6701753186,0.6414950038
-hermes,0.6092189047000001,0.6510189412,0.6183988819,0.9852562723,0.7037822323,0.6752116267,0.7049311249,0.8242736568,1.4161705928,1.2129200308,1.6730456492,1.5539343318,2.1461477983,2.1461477983,2.2601295911
-hierarchical_sales_1D,0.5567377299,0.5472671449000001,0.5516009983,0.5468045976,0.550892445,0.550892445,0.5720159668,0.63854811,0.7197387018,0.6445167344,0.7933138017,0.815310861,1.0291569643,1.5929687017,1.6067653205
-hierarchical_sales_1W,0.6161304308000001,0.6208684057,0.6177938232,0.6372998817000001,0.6366963845,0.6366963845,0.6369452495,0.7066222052000001,0.7460571909,0.7472607405,10.476792269,0.7744970082,1.3859393726,1.3859393726,1.416652405
-hospital,0.6860471166000001,0.6884080716000001,0.6797112236,0.7333522854000001,0.6968021756,0.6968021756,0.6961291798,0.8343055996000001,0.6974795864000001,0.7310321414000001,0.7259497104,0.7401804136,0.8075126003,1.0208467827,1.0870231786
-hospital_admissions_1D,0.5544475607,0.5551415729,0.5560606379,0.555491233,0.5555647846,0.5561584192,0.5622795668,0.610265181,0.5569559255000001,0.5556445831,0.5557966863,0.5748023874,0.8571822336,1.3250699981,1.3357575815
-hospital_admissions_1W,0.5763906236,0.5850609146,0.5795336813,0.597604554,0.5862064826,0.5868402215,0.5814141841,0.6410506868,0.5789001687,0.5793359333,0.5783166572,0.5976752248,1.0492127258,1.0492127258,1.0884368132
-jena_weather_10T,0.354328751,0.3893025483,0.3571555639,0.3684159974,0.4178230361,0.4178230361,0.412525166,0.4152438085,0.6729893352,0.6729893352,0.7418250443000001,0.7929160924,0.6729893352,0.7693201112,0.8000027464
-jena_weather_1D,1.1112540336,1.0716473753,1.0903437431,1.1121551269,1.0749683503,1.0749683503,1.1553103934,1.2388075013,1.3391730809,1.3052392106,1.6641987728,1.5312195918,1.7668615982,2.1502001657,2.2588601945
-jena_weather_1H,0.3530167077,0.3556668986,0.3588962212,0.3616362418,0.3668484878,0.3668484878,0.4127616053,0.3803257267,0.4515903467,0.4369650923,0.552924984,0.5933268886,0.6550438031,0.5788947352,0.5844505923000001
-kdd_cup_2022_10T,0.4250791237,0.5333420067,0.5333420067,0.5333420067,0.5333420067,0.5333420067,0.5550654023,0.5333420067,0.7774995242,0.7774995242,0.7469867514,0.7782845321,0.7774995242,0.7544738282,0.8433392069000001
-kdd_cup_2022_1D,0.7035021561,0.6974981294,0.6975119247,0.7036948238,0.7078449047,0.7086991568000001,0.7153283882,0.8018621055,0.7298517236000001,0.720047667,0.7509996402,0.7391822834,0.9005495243,1.1381260567,1.1646512316
-kdd_cup_2022_30T,0.4388772932,0.4319676071,0.505462759,0.4288668087,0.4273561278,0.5612428382,0.5433847052,0.5099402658000001,0.6792689234,0.6406027358,0.7719233326,0.7653501983000001,0.7740434291,0.7638793006,0.7929597862000001
-m5_1D,0.7235519770000001,0.7143626546,0.7292764901000001,0.7292764901000001,0.7292764901000001,0.7292764901000001,1.2544668347,0.8516064277000001,1.2544668347,0.8516619783,0.8527658259,0.8721490279,1.2544668347,1.9603909963,1.9793212176
-m5_1M,0.9769838219,0.9740068956,0.9798127249,1.0439813048,0.9958730245,1.0000578921,1.0016519091,1.0814673882,1.0218515241,1.0455375252,1.1082320899,1.0987392502,1.1398593529,1.1923633059,1.2896192789
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+world_tourism,3.0519541233,3.0521218421,3.5616996609,3.2075602319,3.2640026065,3.1644023349,2.7953196676000003,4.3603502979,2.552402438,2.6184635789,2.8819679863000003,2.5742928529,3.2013302671,3.2013302671,2.3982302133

tables/pivot_WAPE.csv

@@ -1,101 +1,101 @@
 Task name,Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,Stat. Ensemble,AutoARIMA,AutoETS,AutoTheta,Naive,Seasonal Naive,Drift
-ETT_15T,0.1128598548,0.1167248718,0.1158377729,0.121559811,0.122192445,0.1146202493,0.1146202493,0.1157490913,0.1473227948,0.1473227948,0.2089927338,0.1327521257,0.202845639,0.1473227948,0.209491349
-ETT_1D,0.3210531384,0.332150948,0.3280948972,0.3407840222,0.3959747152,0.3275848009,0.3275848009,0.3646975075,0.3275626761,0.3554786793,0.3392487691,0.3405146034,0.336139462,0.3566862594,0.3456173895
-ETT_1H,0.2467289709,0.245201607,0.2477475438,0.2432126313,0.2553246886,0.2464663107,0.2464663107,0.2547681354,0.2621275507,0.2729976766,0.3240313299,0.2708169587,0.3389070071,0.286422462,0.3517438181
-ETT_1W,0.5228870779,0.4956519336,0.4771292359,0.4972649187,0.5109347999,0.4599850744,0.4599850744,0.5208597481,0.4587044328,0.5033163548,0.455156821,0.4891462862,0.3963210046,0.3963210046,0.4451834112
-LOOP_SEATTLE_1D,0.0363369947,0.0359623253,0.0367103025,0.0387991458,0.0365180448,0.0373221384,0.0373221384,0.0372882528,0.0378798334,0.0375884525,0.0379914595,0.0389688019,0.0786971625,0.0445690587,0.0891125299
-LOOP_SEATTLE_1H,0.0681990329,0.0643115029,0.0704373386,0.0749491051,0.0731078316,0.0797934189,0.0797934189,0.077676107,0.1172784954,0.1172784954,0.1460618883,0.1024438366,0.1526884101,0.1172784954,0.1758716479
-LOOP_SEATTLE_5T,0.0736883409,0.0792618439,0.0750445005,0.075644061,0.0858088784,0.0886344958,0.0886344958,0.0829992138,0.1069220781,0.1080897018,0.1085262727,0.1108838413,0.1121638626,0.0883255631,0.130171527
-M_DENSE_1D,0.0833181143,0.0935403809,0.0993285432,0.1092759416,0.0926615007,0.0985291574,0.0985291574,0.0968305223,0.1192791395,0.1260855269,0.1300925907,0.1322432969,0.196977134,0.1419847511,0.2006916501
-M_DENSE_1H,0.1462709986,0.13799605,0.1467316881,0.1535322428,0.1593384311,0.1466876373,0.1466876373,0.1584326059,0.2484246612,0.2454276025,0.3140071735,0.2921647772,0.6536297143,0.2611668751,0.707449168
-SZ_TAXI_15T,0.2391328573,0.2409728497,0.2404616728,0.2440994486,0.2500552535,0.2437216282,0.2437216282,0.245247978,0.3343059897,0.3343059897,0.3189420968,0.2728340209,0.3568555236,0.3343059897,0.3669907093
+ETT_15T,0.1128598566,0.1167248718,0.1158377729,0.121559811,0.122192445,0.1146202493,0.1146202493,0.1157490913,0.1473227948,0.1473227948,0.2089927338,0.1327521257,0.202845639,0.1473227948,0.209491349
+ETT_1D,0.3210531483,0.332150948,0.3280948972,0.3407840222,0.3959747152,0.3275848009,0.3275848009,0.3646975075,0.3275626761,0.3554786793,0.3392487691,0.3405146034,0.336139462,0.3566862594,0.3456173895
+ETT_1H,0.2467289659,0.245201607,0.2477475438,0.2432126313,0.2553246886,0.2464663107,0.2464663107,0.2547681354,0.2621275507,0.2729976766,0.3240313299,0.2708169587,0.3389070071,0.286422462,0.3517438181
+ETT_1W,0.5228870836,0.4956519336,0.4771292359,0.4972649187,0.5109347999,0.4599850744,0.4599850744,0.5208597481,0.4587044328,0.5033163548,0.455156821,0.4891462862,0.3963210046,0.3963210046,0.4451834112
+LOOP_SEATTLE_1D,0.0363369958,0.0359623253,0.0367103025,0.0387991458,0.0365180448,0.0373221384,0.0373221384,0.0372882528,0.0378798334,0.0375884525,0.0379914595,0.0389688019,0.0786971625,0.0445690587,0.0891125299
+LOOP_SEATTLE_1H,0.0681990332,0.0643115029,0.0704373386,0.0749491051,0.0731078316,0.0797934189,0.0797934189,0.077676107,0.1172784954,0.1172784954,0.1460618883,0.1024438366,0.1526884101,0.1172784954,0.1758716479
+LOOP_SEATTLE_5T,0.0736883423,0.0792618439,0.0750445005,0.075644061,0.0858088784,0.0886344958,0.0886344958,0.0829992138,0.1069220781,0.1080897018,0.1085262727,0.1108838413,0.1121638626,0.0883255631,0.130171527
+M_DENSE_1D,0.083318119,0.0935403809,0.0993285432,0.1092759416,0.0926615007,0.0985291574,0.0985291574,0.0968305223,0.1192791395,0.1260855269,0.1300925907,0.1322432969,0.196977134,0.1419847511,0.2006916501
+M_DENSE_1H,0.1462710002,0.13799605,0.1467316881,0.1535322428,0.1593384311,0.1466876373,0.1466876373,0.1584326059,0.2484246612,0.2454276025,0.3140071735,0.2921647772,0.6536297143,0.2611668751,0.707449168
+SZ_TAXI_15T,0.2391328625,0.2409728497,0.2404616728,0.2440994486,0.2500552535,0.2437216282,0.2437216282,0.245247978,0.3343059897,0.3343059897,0.3189420968,0.2728340209,0.3568555236,0.3343059897,0.3669907093
 SZ_TAXI_1H,0.1627460048,0.1730356291,0.1678203642,0.1653927863,0.1798963994,0.1713460237,0.1713460237,0.2091502994,0.1850999221,0.2079726383,0.6624499261,0.2595272139,0.246570535,0.2122471854,0.290869683
-australian_tourism,0.090568915,0.0948839262,0.1068701223,0.1337763593,0.0927634016,0.1308895275,0.1434193179,0.0969211906,0.0957876109,0.1101633608,0.0970393047,0.1052965894,0.1803925335,0.1130525246,0.199330695
-bizitobs_l2c_1H,0.3308651592,0.3901138266,0.4282031118,0.5299379429000001,0.360369738,0.4081446098,0.4081446098,0.4650631395,1.3223615305,1.7735276449,1.2847489447,1.3980487641,1.3024706409,2.2812914532,1.3151569486
-bizitobs_l2c_5T,0.4957357183,0.9057201819,1.4135781384,1.2221172807,0.8823374127,1.3254390534,1.3254390534,0.6893105085,1.3437154961,1.5979523685,1.3366881806,1.6561117344,1.2818957102,2.2837712012,1.8269103833
-boomlet_1062,0.5680818457,0.5789273618,0.5749673398,0.5677611841,0.5832466359,0.5945871048,0.6012691446,0.6355941124000001,0.7826401234,0.7457671713,0.8238335352,0.8386591385000001,1.0029399408,0.8355847068000001,1.0990104974
-boomlet_1209,0.3048901003,0.3045249204,0.3234299188,0.2916179846,0.3865331056,0.3292905567,0.3271624692,0.3340434651,0.4339859435,0.4278108916,0.4784097772,0.456201244,0.4388518186,0.4784097772,0.5110153038
-boomlet_1225,0.1220172789,0.1242312214,0.1230602603,0.1206233559,0.1326060004,0.1278310667,0.1331294786,0.1333109416,0.153843496,0.1446868773,0.1598025897,0.1596047961,0.195260353,0.195260353,0.1988768318
-boomlet_1230,0.3054680914,0.2999179457,0.3117769108,0.2909953139,0.3497826156,0.3094188715,0.3241073897,0.3178766378,0.3894998971,0.3998710697,0.4274646386,0.4040077124,0.3912469672,0.4654206108,0.4504819196
-boomlet_1282,0.3551724824,0.3418466096,0.3447100926,0.3443926057,0.3517501049,0.3639267584,0.3918061855,0.360391448,0.4329732117,0.4049750815,0.4705070178,0.471762625,0.5673586508,0.5673586508,0.5815167152
-boomlet_1487,0.2009541858,0.1978987699,0.2042655856,0.1894979433,0.2418147345,0.2079859222,0.2074861592,0.2194652483,0.2612758556,0.259043758,0.2614417874,0.270651306,0.2881606094,0.2823812783,0.3361342464
-boomlet_1631,0.3118222298,0.3155328254,0.3227136546,0.3156198487,0.3554736745,0.322950287,0.3246407648,0.3276903199,0.4303123065,0.4303123065,0.3481223856,0.3499573969,0.3828907337,0.4303123065,0.3956788492
-boomlet_1676,0.323739112,0.3195228016,0.3219743376,0.3173684891,0.3439016851,0.3274155865,0.3288848916,0.3249830057,0.4490416802,0.4490416802,0.3539671682,0.3605949771,0.3738144227,0.4490416802,0.3871649546
-boomlet_1855,0.1587321404,0.1647552303,0.157446321,0.1576757028,0.1950387305,0.1619848815,0.1634840172,0.1777051742,0.2153578225,0.2241676514,0.2190390133,0.2310231853,0.2028796298,0.255325092,0.2044042459
-boomlet_1975,0.0905538368,0.1160976808,0.1343890613,0.0860611707,0.1347071896,0.1478435607,0.1244086675,0.1286565167,0.3327476291,0.3661623288,0.4015633572,0.3240569453,0.4014330303,0.5204730918,0.4021568225
-boomlet_2187,0.2656522722,0.2903383515,0.2640573038,0.2836815666,0.3217076673,0.2926881402,0.2890647493,0.3149817281,0.4073318877,0.4429809169,0.4339327821,0.441407778,0.403332821,0.465180005,0.4079644265
-boomlet_285,0.163745336,0.1907992813,0.1807812872,0.1596092123,0.1742876602,0.2203877039,0.2555644857,0.2649652282,0.3599062982,0.34433789,0.3622854223,0.3717445356,0.6725665377000001,0.6725665377000001,0.6908623011
-boomlet_619,0.2998264338,0.3117435689,0.317407313,0.2789135486,0.3036044294,0.3062168618,0.4683247317,0.3109702097,0.8714422486000001,0.5880218188,0.9528967892,0.8820872245,0.9458725577,0.9458725577,0.9676378967
-boomlet_772,0.1571995007,0.160275506,0.16101018,0.1544767227,0.1705900793,0.1698505863,0.1845645847,0.1812428949,0.2635364999,0.2378165958,0.3077275646,0.2834336899,0.2919496069,0.2919496069,0.2993941878
-boomlet_963,0.381703259,0.397875566,0.3901485342,0.3792164679,0.415064609,0.4169379192,0.4316260388,0.4042673384,0.5013279652,0.5164873201,0.5458354699,0.5049570994,0.5169750445,0.5169750445,0.5254156838
-ecdc_ili,0.3759767383,0.4172024563,0.4242536306,0.4693168223,0.3879963517,0.4756085008,0.4956143111,0.5432749093,0.5675356537,0.5880377501,0.6168868512,0.5694230199,0.5534411848,0.5534411848,0.5846513778
-entsoe_15T,0.0421964779,0.0416073938,0.0420496514,0.0522911714,0.0426369185,0.0423905659,0.0428303072,0.0564987165,0.067677392,0.067677392,0.4080646552,0.0539835229,0.1434365042,0.067677392,0.1567171741
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-entsoe_30T,0.0367302982,0.0473410125,0.0399606742,0.0378812171,0.0390591249,0.038267585,0.0378308199,0.0519962882,0.0767360015,0.090934383,0.241174338,0.0721444593,0.1462993909,0.0870952165,0.1450240765
-epf_be,0.1155560069,0.11255784,0.1230011668,0.1323491182,0.1179565661,0.1227849199,0.1357350046,0.1303241445,0.1754423061,0.1986222906,0.2487520538,0.1881915066,0.237576263,0.1840044525,0.2400494121
-epf_de,0.291016902,0.5914115101,0.5786662247000001,0.6772215117,0.3069136301,0.5364827175,0.5606896855,0.5721812874000001,0.6023222137,0.6818832021,0.6107009687,0.6459928796000001,0.6107063688000001,0.7489839181,0.6189188711
-epf_fr,0.0680296246,0.0771284029,0.0797966965,0.0836794117,0.0618426707,0.079128382,0.0876754681,0.0812654203,0.1133474851,0.1532071637,0.1492719604,0.1293735383,0.1702834178,0.1298259975,0.1727491379
-epf_np,0.0381853646,0.0639044802,0.0554376821,0.0616097255,0.0386706958,0.0542902095,0.0566988389,0.0496031295,0.0682523511,0.078622775,0.1040808285,0.0688152587,0.1036567884,0.0796461385,0.1036498375
-epf_pjm,0.0821098216,0.0941735437,0.08936894,0.1030592872,0.092521411,0.0975614782,0.0937614741,0.0934227692,0.0933501931,0.098476214,0.1716884077,0.1198625589,0.1717319913,0.1016348289,0.1742728941
-ercot_1D,0.0765202647,0.0756690312,0.075154368,0.0810110342,0.0898239311,0.0819215234,0.0793944309,0.0776411118,0.1129253348,0.1103588376,0.117865942,0.1169790924,0.1179466095,0.1245740173,0.1188580243
-ercot_1H,0.0691227347,0.0764717873,0.0705278089,0.0721937651,0.0795933543,0.0716643825,0.0730120171,0.074077414,0.0829790251,0.0749658542,0.1808560818,0.081462577,0.1561551619,0.0818516593,0.156225403
-ercot_1M,0.0474946227,0.0484172593,0.0524891056,0.0669821394,0.05342761,0.0656316509,0.0511789478,0.051032866,0.0481692294,0.0493777886,0.0470737303,0.0593784221,0.266211768,0.0529377862,0.2937269539
-ercot_1W,0.0589590447,0.059191324,0.0586846132,0.0654530676,0.0684465686,0.0638612125,0.0599824842,0.0685063219,0.1453860532,0.1429765524,0.1469057526,0.1458645716,0.1442763271,0.1442763271,0.1446279654
-favorita_stores_1D,0.1382725291,0.1452467814,0.1518204361,0.1783829153,0.1485749632,0.1568098612,0.1742722556,0.1561883375,0.1788716882,0.1934442326,0.1871851772,0.1834860831,0.3056042403,0.2519854262,0.3071700007
-favorita_stores_1M,0.1303168498,0.2102531455,0.1893665791,0.1978285983,0.1158652566,0.2355426997,0.263652347,0.2560960427,0.1466952749,0.1385348588,0.1568281725,0.1535032243,0.1232989542,0.1900056936,0.1430777609
-favorita_stores_1W,0.128928905,0.1308373965,0.1345634833,0.1511486098,0.1259902738,0.1555078961,0.1579625078,0.1497412801,0.1436039165,0.1500959687,0.148442591,0.1443628684,0.1528069191,0.1528069191,0.1540484183
-favorita_transactions_1D,0.0611646157,0.0873474585,0.0820303043,0.0873474585,0.0773345503,0.0873474585,0.0873474585,0.0798803577,0.1005134217,0.1204928338,0.1010010868,0.0961165557,0.1561206006,0.1460640723,0.1564211233
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-favorita_transactions_1W,0.0562127216,0.0628811317,0.0590786255,0.0686957029,0.070972002,0.0671727598,0.0628811317,0.0715127803,0.0683781244,0.0730921635,0.0708877588,0.0703343528,0.0709917221,0.0709917221,0.0733929446
-fred_md_2025/cee,0.0808948614,0.0893563021,0.0771422869,0.0893563021,0.0853241075,0.0893563021,0.0893563021,0.1094554538,0.0880950077,0.101570566,0.0874256578,0.0903405098,0.0912865269,0.1825383855,0.0899785994
-fred_md_2025/macro,0.0797789793,0.0832975223,0.0786031675,0.0832975223,0.0845430854,0.0832975223,0.0832975223,0.0866654116,0.0850931924,0.0913136788,0.0855845023,0.086868012,0.0864161201,0.1316369599,0.0862326509
-fred_qd_2025/cee,0.165729059,0.1558658059,0.146726247,0.1320567852,0.1495637866,0.1528913536,0.1553945123,0.2050228651,0.1535186178,0.1628828034,0.163525425,0.1604369975,0.1646972333,0.2083851339,0.1613227853
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-gvar,0.0184834709,0.0187466032,0.0185361033,0.0183949311,0.0235774602,0.0185879215,0.0189676567,0.0219536834,0.018235926,0.0184923184,0.0183902988,0.0183729022,0.0185624258,0.0239340235,0.017942446
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tables/pivot_WQL.csv

@@ -1,101 +1,101 @@
 Task name,Chronos-2,TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,Stat. Ensemble,AutoARIMA,AutoETS,AutoTheta,Seasonal Naive,Naive,Drift
-ETT_15T,0.0881409166,0.0914609728,0.0925313491,0.0951691601,0.0966499793,0.0933383153,0.0933383153,0.0969683943,0.1224205307,0.1224205307,0.1889663006,0.170235374,0.1224205307,0.2051287363,0.2108337564
-ETT_1D,0.2599714564,0.2612366718,0.267888696,0.2741924035,0.3179643477,0.2669855109,0.2669855109,0.3129149392,0.3227852613,0.3320927513,0.3649904644,0.360480833,0.3642035745,0.3538102937,0.3621092269
-ETT_1H,0.1929432658,0.1923900276,0.1916135933,0.189981304,0.2034494101,0.2059476241,0.2059476241,0.2146782131,0.2620350459,0.2275419988,0.3554423083,0.387905148,0.2597090183,0.4903424451,0.5136644933
-ETT_1W,0.4180629801,0.3834384084,0.3998766685,0.3901701003,0.4148319078,0.3737931634,0.3737931634,0.4643316617,0.4495446321,0.4761461158,0.4577441806,0.4986518854,0.4614224698,0.4614224698,0.4961494694
-LOOP_SEATTLE_1D,0.0294338102,0.029926259,0.0292182088,0.0313094796,0.0295572487,0.0304002738,0.0304002738,0.0326217509,0.0310410872,0.0306907047,0.0311914855,0.0325479384,0.0397058571,0.0919262659,0.0978699313
-LOOP_SEATTLE_1H,0.0547949415,0.0562291392,0.0529133781,0.0599067065,0.0580208445,0.0662523771,0.0662523771,0.0664487294,0.1307515175,0.1307515175,0.2388070951,0.2528752457,0.1307515175,0.3038598558,0.3206568541
-LOOP_SEATTLE_5T,0.0574848141,0.0594513843,0.0643709018,0.0606719844,0.0689450513,0.0781392419,0.0781392419,0.0714930823,0.1151931596,0.1111745205,0.1270606325,0.121969972,0.081199984,0.1936404655,0.210202567
-M_DENSE_1D,0.0712116921,0.0821914373,0.0773717212,0.0906527349,0.0776412798,0.0817335467,0.0817335467,0.0844361527,0.1131422312,0.1051447846,0.1323504645,0.1459052349,0.1367572058,0.2323397334,0.2363624963
-M_DENSE_1H,0.119830846,0.1208851977,0.1143436056,0.1267713853,0.1296769427,0.1209575592,0.1209575592,0.1339606641,0.2346087824,0.2211301613,12.8518608164,0.7918015547,0.2731296131,0.84829413,0.8946267050000001
-SZ_TAXI_15T,0.1878149412,0.1889248146,0.1894354422,0.1918294193,0.2040341404,0.197437778,0.197437778,0.2118998785,0.2672484294,0.2672484294,0.9991056751,0.2434722417,0.2672484294,0.6619538384,0.6804962505000001
-SZ_TAXI_1H,0.1329118925,0.1368741884,0.1394973218,0.1399772683,0.1666049443,0.1447212932,0.1447212932,0.1764986928,0.2449234495,0.2187159408,4510502977.541462,0.3559208311,0.2910650923,0.9157567452,1.0097515601
-australian_tourism,0.0714093583,0.0861105624,0.0761527549,0.1044141415,0.07310177,0.1053900171,0.1140447009,0.0836038879,0.0747720206,0.0866216851,0.0760110551,0.0823354804,0.0905870679,0.1922018184,0.2141353268
-bizitobs_l2c_1H,0.2574969401,0.3395892762,0.3062390652,0.4180692521,0.3020415377,0.3259227696,0.3259227696,0.4028991374,1.2739406784,1.4044947577,1.4288888475,1.3542131559,2.0969368333,1.3379066541,1.3508241876
-bizitobs_l2c_5T,0.3972981771,1.2724528657,0.7904916189000001,1.0846777557,0.6797159368,1.2750077013,1.2750077013,0.5857720953000001,1.5128526941,1.8771775481,1.6113720868,1.6069322946,2.2877704895,1.4507804453,1.731649134
-boomlet_1062,0.4575715743,0.462540047,0.4710064002,0.4560339911,0.4854876351,0.4872201343,0.5409239931000001,0.5396810790000001,0.7822110511,0.5907259586,1.0658179181,1.085539266,0.7418110944,3.1996986673,3.4646472151
-boomlet_1209,0.2624618712,0.2759885511,0.2609844697,0.2511164388,0.3699793008,0.2879466627,0.301826322,0.2937933689,1.0148176093,0.4535022053,0.5015055777,1.1157526247,0.5015055777,1.328999921,1.4420052382000002
-boomlet_1225,0.0982049933,0.0990409314,0.1000748977,0.0968533979,0.1144239787,0.1024577962,0.1066372427,0.1172112941,0.1451941336,0.12260998,0.1651551358,0.1711256418,0.3809038981,0.3809038981,0.3876340759
+ETT_15T,0.088140917,0.0914609728,0.0925313491,0.0951691601,0.0966499793,0.0933383153,0.0933383153,0.0969683943,0.1224205307,0.1224205307,0.1889663006,0.170235374,0.1224205307,0.2051287363,0.2108337564
+ETT_1D,0.2599714581,0.2612366718,0.267888696,0.2741924035,0.3179643477,0.2669855109,0.2669855109,0.3129149392,0.3227852613,0.3320927513,0.3649904644,0.360480833,0.3642035745,0.3538102937,0.3621092269
+ETT_1H,0.1929432618,0.1923900276,0.1916135933,0.189981304,0.2034494101,0.2059476241,0.2059476241,0.2146782131,0.2620350459,0.2275419988,0.3554423083,0.387905148,0.2597090183,0.4903424451,0.5136644933
+ETT_1W,0.4180629794,0.3834384084,0.3998766685,0.3901701003,0.4148319078,0.3737931634,0.3737931634,0.4643316617,0.4495446321,0.4761461158,0.4577441806,0.4986518854,0.4614224698,0.4614224698,0.4961494694
+LOOP_SEATTLE_1D,0.0294338099,0.029926259,0.0292182088,0.0313094796,0.0295572487,0.0304002738,0.0304002738,0.0326217509,0.0310410872,0.0306907047,0.0311914855,0.0325479384,0.0397058571,0.0919262659,0.0978699313
+LOOP_SEATTLE_1H,0.0547949407,0.0562291392,0.0529133781,0.0599067065,0.0580208445,0.0662523771,0.0662523771,0.0664487294,0.1307515175,0.1307515175,0.2388070951,0.2528752457,0.1307515175,0.3038598558,0.3206568541
+LOOP_SEATTLE_5T,0.0574848175,0.0594513843,0.0643709018,0.0606719844,0.0689450513,0.0781392419,0.0781392419,0.0714930823,0.1151931596,0.1111745205,0.1270606325,0.121969972,0.081199984,0.1936404655,0.210202567
+M_DENSE_1D,0.0712116931,0.0821914373,0.0773717212,0.0906527349,0.0776412798,0.0817335467,0.0817335467,0.0844361527,0.1131422312,0.1051447846,0.1323504645,0.1459052349,0.1367572058,0.2323397334,0.2363624963
+M_DENSE_1H,0.1198308475,0.1208851977,0.1143436056,0.1267713853,0.1296769427,0.1209575592,0.1209575592,0.1339606641,0.2346087824,0.2211301613,12.8518608164,0.7918015547,0.2731296131,0.84829413,0.8946267050000001
+SZ_TAXI_15T,0.1878149403,0.1889248146,0.1894354422,0.1918294193,0.2040341404,0.197437778,0.197437778,0.2118998785,0.2672484294,0.2672484294,0.9991056751,0.2434722417,0.2672484294,0.6619538384,0.6804962505000001
+SZ_TAXI_1H,0.1329118955,0.1368741884,0.1394973218,0.1399772683,0.1666049443,0.1447212932,0.1447212932,0.1764986928,0.2449234495,0.2187159408,4510502977.541462,0.3559208311,0.2910650923,0.9157567452,1.0097515601
+australian_tourism,0.0714093581,0.0861105624,0.0761527549,0.1044141415,0.07310177,0.1053900171,0.1140447009,0.0836038879,0.0747720206,0.0866216851,0.0760110551,0.0823354804,0.0905870679,0.1922018184,0.2141353268
+bizitobs_l2c_1H,0.2574968709,0.3395892762,0.3062390652,0.4180692521,0.3020415377,0.3259227696,0.3259227696,0.4028991374,1.2739406784,1.4044947577,1.4288888475,1.3542131559,2.0969368333,1.3379066541,1.3508241876
+bizitobs_l2c_5T,0.3972980474,1.2724528657,0.7904916189000001,1.0846777557,0.6797159368,1.2750077013,1.2750077013,0.5857720953000001,1.5128526941,1.8771775481,1.6113720868,1.6069322946,2.2877704895,1.4507804453,1.731649134
+boomlet_1062,0.4575715706,0.462540047,0.4710064002,0.4560339911,0.4854876351,0.4872201343,0.5409239931000001,0.5396810790000001,0.7822110511,0.5907259586,1.0658179181,1.085539266,0.7418110944,3.1996986673,3.4646472151
+boomlet_1209,0.2624618736,0.2759885511,0.2609844697,0.2511164388,0.3699793008,0.2879466627,0.301826322,0.2937933689,1.0148176093,0.4535022053,0.5015055777,1.1157526247,0.5015055777,1.328999921,1.4420052382000002
+boomlet_1225,0.0982049927,0.0990409314,0.1000748977,0.0968533979,0.1144239787,0.1024577962,0.1066372427,0.1172112941,0.1451941336,0.12260998,0.1651551358,0.1711256418,0.3809038981,0.3809038981,0.3876340759
 boomlet_1230,0.2619779044,0.2653064283,0.2547608466,0.2477353188,0.3987332881,0.2744689053,0.3010213735,0.2814650284,0.9994018454,0.4477425115,228079607857629.03,1.1951987922,0.5006062673,1.7490874961,1.895555107
-boomlet_1282,0.2857642723,0.2813823066,0.2769507583,0.2786303196,0.292132349,0.2943955518,0.3174313196,0.3125554342,0.49773322,0.3750317971,0.62613098,0.6672579187000001,1.0473420209,1.0473420209,1.0675288199
-boomlet_1487,0.1664420355,0.1679334305,0.1621616582,0.1572610369,0.2936465116,0.179562264,0.190011281,0.1963999731,0.2664583485,0.2570055801,0.2835559204,0.3266562805,0.3287160259,2.1936503487,2.3761204352
-boomlet_1631,0.2500222003,0.2578011825,0.2521962154,0.2530865122,0.294595714,0.2594328079,0.2712471357,0.2762733263,0.3678343488,0.3678343488,0.3219452018,0.3246702609,0.3678343488,0.5939295732000001,0.6115095201
-boomlet_1676,0.2538630466,0.2548401001,0.2519960915,0.2495295993,0.2853155601,0.2579772293,0.2757684538,0.274422727,0.3899388202,0.3899388202,0.3561141453,0.3689668234,0.3899388202,0.5376397046,0.5530190574
-boomlet_1855,0.1371847152,0.1348268939,0.1418942616,0.1355059408,0.1913295293,0.139558043,0.1402605794,0.1563253928,0.2389634823,0.2316298817,0.2553622581,0.2591897672,0.3053456375,0.5272950774,0.5309525567
-boomlet_1975,0.0754861483,0.1095269694,0.0946619153,0.0726927455,0.1155713746,0.1195154441,0.1030843609,0.1103445012,0.3109341662,0.3101025558,0.3508947927,0.3645838608,0.490065287,0.3511931898,0.3522290761
-boomlet_2187,0.2318940307,0.2304085287,0.2575487452,0.24435445,0.2994495011,0.2578882698,0.2524757438,0.2800640842,0.4312238249,0.4412020452,0.4456954551,0.4740037125,0.5699897289,1.0418096521,1.049295268
-boomlet_285,0.1346407915,0.148143136,0.1683399577,0.1331450908,0.1553438735,0.1889532567,0.2234209762,0.2244579194,0.3030251372,0.2917086037,0.3012758228,0.3165758913,1.2032068551,1.2032068551,1.2258270453
-boomlet_619,0.2302330587,0.2471279568,0.2458341339,0.2162579975,0.2349216897,0.2356420104,0.3764453393,0.2649462131,0.6585898854000001,0.4527380943,0.7635945062,0.6993259862,0.9678549923,0.9678549923,0.9877621571
-boomlet_772,0.1331013781,0.136682574,0.1358824185,0.1307594429,0.1546550252,0.1437870275,0.155831971,0.1611776721,0.4436068427,0.3102148884,233223016.4792193,0.5422949313000001,0.9858607218,0.9858607218,1.0040136572
-boomlet_963,0.3166849612,0.3257730396,0.3291269599,0.3152013005,0.368648075,0.3420300574,0.3596501239,0.3456713575,0.6331985559000001,0.5019102045,0.7424657093,0.716591367,0.811345873,0.811345873,0.8256079501
-ecdc_ili,0.3096012763,0.3706244122,0.3434282741,0.3944662068,0.3232828815,0.3850819865,0.4167010575,0.4694310556,0.5427352164,0.5348657716,0.5818744542000001,0.5760490118,0.5547015104,0.5547015104,0.5751070381
-entsoe_15T,0.0332921923,0.03370606,0.0334792124,0.0413516905,0.0335205629,0.0343344442,0.0362665583,0.0499695365,0.0566124331,0.0566124331,0.313985467,0.04302748,0.0566124331,0.1154915649,0.1262425683
-entsoe_1H,0.0261903898,0.0293722588,0.029016943,0.0302241335,0.0272967255,0.033285571,0.0281751907,0.050980506,0.0660357719,0.0666871832,0.1446894285,0.0693891454,0.0798215745,0.144830171,0.1529602098
-entsoe_30T,0.029067509,0.0314140317,0.0388367365,0.0301774471,0.0321818804,0.0318440586,0.0321248654,0.0485585461,0.0612238614,0.0731621073,0.1815717143,0.0571609073,0.0725922166,0.1142494542,0.1132384606
-epf_be,0.0901568483,0.0962218885,0.0904647786,0.1057693667,0.0932975438,0.0968269743,0.106932535,0.116974555,0.2109061816,0.1868416274,0.2658805243,0.2582438044,0.2012625857,0.5357212884,0.5396597512
-epf_de,0.24071768,0.468452292,0.4775486473,0.5515425934,0.2426255873,0.4585770885,0.4643713196,0.5102784096,0.4882154408,0.5432797572,0.5287818089,0.6490481061000001,0.5919144005,0.5286529239000001,0.5344012453
-epf_fr,0.0548184681,0.063925129,0.0640304463,0.0682821872,0.0491162423,0.0646047834,0.0684544774,0.0719692742,0.1676570118,0.171487674,0.1386675645,0.2296495476,0.1818024008,0.5500836774,0.5542629353
-epf_np,0.0297236499,0.0438147562,0.0519221,0.0471320493,0.0293296573,0.0419786745,0.0445199614,0.0428252373,0.05738593,0.0636813178,0.086372811,0.0578512541,0.0691889058,0.0868798682,0.0869585173
-epf_pjm,0.0667748898,0.071403604,0.0757086151,0.0799833604,0.0739926826,0.0766169612,0.0739331273,0.084093308,0.0862614181,0.0855296797,0.1606961463,0.1068456977,0.0908421958,0.1641666584,0.1656245552
-ercot_1D,0.0597422214,0.0583644776,0.0590120341,0.0621409451,0.0688811199,0.0637608291,0.0620146905,0.0665392831,0.0936050684,0.0865494548,0.1027502478,0.1055339552,0.1044921679,0.1043182678,0.1051661229
-ercot_1H,0.0517757195,0.0542294904,0.0584985426,0.0555864688,0.0615615188,0.0563341027,0.0597259069,0.0625128045,0.0642267414,0.0597358018,0.1494485063,0.0646341807,0.0682466944,0.1331050238,0.1354763369
-ercot_1M,0.0374032871,0.0419160577,0.0380629909,0.0530588211,0.0407906509,0.0509930124,0.0398626935,0.0434627402,0.0375336712,0.0388325707,0.0371511279,0.0470765052,0.0427842586,0.2106942527,0.2307212042
-ercot_1W,0.046153037,0.0457429263,0.0465659059,0.0515355854,0.0531508617,0.0502061941,0.0467287195,0.0583864951,0.1138242996,0.1129826874,0.1134717335,0.1163159858,0.1143459151,0.1143459151,0.1147730701
-favorita_stores_1D,0.1111436033,0.1242660249,0.1184216613,0.1439165317,0.1204039869,0.1278709711,0.1418629323,0.1353609503,0.1606265395,0.1647292421,0.1672181851,0.1778642628,0.2375760789,0.4079240646,0.4110111744
-favorita_stores_1M,0.1214689726,0.1421527991,0.1508910378,0.1391907522,0.0943255732,0.1725604577,0.1852146109,0.2222006124,0.1265354908,0.1314480379,0.1328922997,0.1244588255,0.1715121001,0.1701131599,0.1843808726
-favorita_stores_1W,0.108858649,0.1134128786,0.109472936,0.1223103152,0.1011036417,0.1243048273,0.1268154753,0.1312294599,0.1336292959,0.1331314369,0.1429768358,0.1407957933,0.1608274596,0.1608274596,0.1626164075
-favorita_transactions_1D,0.0493905048,0.067704191,0.0735763953,0.0735763953,0.0603391606,0.0735763953,0.0735763953,0.0710714949,0.094900864,0.1055051904,0.0944759338,0.0991455646,0.1403339153,0.2372471038,0.2388998485
-favorita_transactions_1M,0.0604582877,0.0683964364,0.0642577109,0.0770716759,0.0718016091,0.0756335151,0.0799691906,0.0834713904,0.0705845865,0.0776326578,0.0709936943,0.0829960463,0.0855815678,0.1052862092,0.1152703332
-favorita_transactions_1W,0.0471234505,0.049259837,0.0528246684,0.0575771001,0.0575076503,0.0569446098,0.0528246684,0.0632163955,0.0648065086,0.0648478224,0.0694461916,0.0703094331,0.0783787891,0.0783787891,0.080280481
-fred_md_2025/cee,0.0668234044,0.0670834958,0.0750783838,0.0750783838,0.0743757483,0.0750783838,0.0750783838,0.0954701869,0.1051946757,0.133660425,0.0757646768,0.1182489158,0.2073879582,0.1174362958,0.1155920484
-fred_md_2025/macro,0.0658448953,0.0651736736,0.0689005701,0.0689005701,0.0703198143,0.0689005701,0.0689005701,0.0758142866,0.0780002055,0.0859787221,0.0754502178,0.0815239103,0.119592083,0.0816199937,0.0813235213
-fred_qd_2025/cee,0.1349362833,0.1205702323,0.1290291477,0.1111966207,0.1232875729,0.1271824649,0.1238446163,0.1631968012,0.1373877839,0.1474873424,0.1365938852,0.1482369083,0.194192155,0.1537726616,0.1492650928
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